Thursday, November 04, 2010

The problems Harry Reid will face in the Senate

The Senate is an especially difficult place for any Majority Leader to run. Think of how many recent Senate leaders have emerged diminished from that job: Bob Dole, Bill Frist, Tom Daschle, Trent Lott, and Harry Reid.

Harry Reid is going to have an especially hard time running the Senates for the next two years. He might have a majority, but a significant group of his members are up in 2012 in states that are more conservative than when these senators were elected in 2006. Fred Barnes has the list and explanation of what that means.
Ten Democrats whose seats are up in 2012 come from right-leaning states or saw their states scoot to the right this week: Ben Nelson of Nebraska, Bill Nelson of Florida, Herb Kohl of Wisconsin, Kent Conrad of North Dakota, Claire McCaskill of Missouri, Jim Webb of Virginia, Bob Casey of Pennsylvania, Debbie Stabenow of Michigan, Jon Tester of Montana, and Jeff Bingaman of New Mexico.

It's a good bet that some or all of them will be sympathetic to cutting spending, extending the Bush tax cuts, scaling back ObamaCare, and supporting other parts of the Republican agenda. With Democratic allies, Republicans will have operational control of the Senate more often than Majority Leader Harry Reid and Mr. Obama will.
As the debates go forward on extending the Bush tax cuts, we'll see if those senators have woken up to their potential problems in 2012 and are going to adjust their votes accordingly.


pumping-irony said...

These people are notorious for going with the political winds but I think they follow the Wayne Gretsky model* - they go where they think the public is going to be. It should be obvious to most now that they miscalculated in 2009 and the public was NOT going Obama's way. I look for the smarter ones to reverse course in short order.

*Wayne said don't skate to where the puck is, skate to where it's going to be.

Pat Patterson said...

Also if the conservative majority emerges with both parties represented the chances of the kind of extreme measures that made the Democrats and the president unhappy probably won't happen. But also with this support it will be difficult, that doesn't mean he won't, to veto this type of legislation on strictly partisan reasoning. The president will be put in a spot where he might have to actually explain his actions clearly to the Senate without the usual claim that they didn't understand.

So Cal Jim said...

Conservatives cannot underestimate the power and influence that our educational bureaucrats and the MSM still possesses. Obama, Harry Reid and the Dems are not going to give an inch without a vicious fight. Obama will give speeches calling for cooperation and bipartisanship but he and his party will do everything they can to make it so that conservatives always compromise in his direction. They will never compromise if it means an actual reduction in the size and scope of the federal government. You can be sure that the MSM and just about every teacher and professor in every class room (with a few notable exceptions, Betsy) will provide all of the cover and propaganda that they can possibly give to support Obama and demonize conservatives. This is going to be a very dirty fight and unfortunately, the Dems are much better dirty fighters than conservatives are.