Friday, January 08, 2010

More cruising the web

Public Policy Polling, a Democratic polling group, hints at what they're seeing in their Massachusetts polling of the Senate race there. They have more confirmation of what Rasmussen found earlier this week.
-At this point a plurality of those planning to turn out oppose the health care bill. The massive enthusiasm gap we saw in Virginia is playing itself out in Massachusetts as well. Republican voters are fired up and they're going to turn out. Martha Coakley needs to have a coherent message up on the air over the last ten days that her election is critical to health care passing and Ted Kennedy's legacy- right now Democrats in the state are not feeling a sense of urgency.

-Scott Brown's favorables are up around 60%, a product of his having had the airwaves to himself for the last week. By comparison Bob McDonnell's were at 55% right before his election and Chris Christie's were only at 43%. Coakley's campaign or outside groups need to tie Brown's image to national Republicans and knock him down a notch over the final week of the campaign.

This has become a losable race for Democrats- but it could also be easily winnable if Coakley gets her act together for the last week of the campaign. Complacency is the Democrats' biggest enemy at this point and something that needs to be overcome to avoid a potential disaster.
Perhaps in response to these sorts of results and criticism we see push polling against Scott Brown and beginning in Massachusetts as well as entering the race. However, Brown does have his own outside help from the America Future Fund. Just wait to some anonymous group starts push-polling on Coakley not going after the guy who raped a baby with a curling iron until the mother filed a complaint.

Senator Landrieu kindly helps Harry Reid out by shifting some campaign funds to his reelection campaign. Even more reason for him to have so happily sent the Louisiana Purchase her way.

Gitmo is so very terrible and such a bad recruiting tool that would be ameliorated only by moving the detainees to Illinois except that some of the detainees would prefer to stay at Gitmo. They don't like the sound of living at a supermax prison. So those civil libertarians who are so up in arms about the necessity of closing that vile Gitmo don't seem to be on the same page as the detainees. Some even want to go to court to block their transfer to Thomson. Oh, the ironies abound!

Roger Clegg reports
on how the Obama Justice Department is filing complaints against police departments that use written exams that minorities don't do as well on claiming that the mere fact of their poor performance is a sign of a racist test.
Alas, I end the day as I began it, with a posting on disparate impact and police exams. My earlier post discussed how Chicago is seriously considering getting rid of its police entrance exam altogether. One reason, according to the Chicago Sun-Times article I quoted, is the “costly legal battles” associated with such exams. On cue, the Obama administration this afternoon announced that it is going to drag yet another jurisdiction into such a costly legal battle, bringing a disparate-impact challenge against “New Jersey’s use of a written examination for promotion to the rank of police sergeant in localities throughout the state.” No allegation that the test, by its terms, design, or application, is discriminatory — just that African Americans and Hispanics have not done as well on it. Such lawsuits are a top priority of the Obama administration, and they inevitably drive employers, like the Chicago police department, into either imposing quotas or hiring less qualified individuals.