Say you’re a Democrat (I know, but just say). There’s going to be an election that will be a national referendum — a referendum on the Obama agenda. The presence on the ground of the president himself, and the former president, Clinton, and other big guns will assure that the election is national. Which of the 50 states would you like to see that election in? Massachusetts, right? Even better, this will be the race to replace a Kennedy brother, beloved and legendary. The scenario couldn’t be any better for the Democrats.And here is Jonah Goldberg:
And yet they may lose. That, friends, is shocking.
I mean, the race is not in Arizona, which is a Republican state, by and large. It’s not in Missouri or Ohio, both of which are swing swates. It’s not in New Jersey — where a Republican was just elected governor — which is a pretty staunchly blue state. It’s in Massachusetts, a blue-blue-blue state. The only state that McGovern won. The state of Dukakis, John Kerry, Barney Frank, the Kennedys . . .
Holy mackerel. Just think of it.
It's already begun. The Brown-Coakley contest, say E. J. Dionne and Joan Vennocchi of the Boston Globe, is really about local issues. Heck, Massachusetts isn't even all that much of a Democratic state! Bay State voters really have a "love-hate" relationship with the Democratic party.Exactly.
I'm sure we can get back to such claims later.
But for the time being, when you hear someone making these or similar arguments, just imagine if you had asked them two, three, or six months ago:
"Would you at least agree that it would be a pretty big deal if an unknown Republican state senator closed a 30-point gap with the anointed successor for Ted Kennedy's seat (an — allegedly — tough-on-crime female attorney general, no less) and ended up winning only after he made the election a referendum on whether his "41st vote" should kill Obamacare, and after Obama himself tried to nationalize the race?"
Anyone who claims that they would have said, "Oh, it will boil down to local issues" has a serious credibility problem.[Links in the original]
That's why they call it spin.