Wednesday, December 02, 2009

One way to accelerate the decline: reverse a zero

Charles Martin highlights a hilarious mistake by the IPCC. The head of the IPCC has been trumpeting the imminent melting of the Himalayan glaciers. In fact, if we don't do something fast, the IPCC claims that the glaciers will have melted away by 2035.
IPCC chair Rajendra Pachauri reacted angrily citing the IPCC 2007 climate change reports which asserted that the (Himalayan) glaciers are receding faster than in any other part of the world and if the present rate (of melting) continues, the likelihood of them disappearing by the year 2035 and perhaps even sooner is very high if the earth keeps warming at the current rate.
Wow! The Himalayans to melt away in just 26 years! That's amazing!

Except that this apocalyptic prediction is the result of a typo! The IPCC inserted an extra zero to read the original prediction as 2035 instead of what was actually estimated as occuring in 2350. They're off by over 300 years.

These guys and their models couldn't predict the last ten years of cooling that we've experienced and they think that they can estimate the climate three centuries from now? I guess it's a lot easier to do that if you just reverse the position of the zero.