President Obama issued his statement telling the Iranians that the world is watching. Good, if somewhat slow in coming. The world has been watching for a week now. It's going to be very hard to recover his fantasy of engagement and constructive dialog with the Iranian regime after the world has watched these videos. It was always a pipe dream to think that there was some way to negotiate an end to their quest for nuclear weapons. Now that dream is even more crudely exposed. Maybe this old refrain that the crowd was told to chant after Khamenei's speech yesterday gave Obama a clue that his silence wasn't winning any points with the regime.
As the crowds started dispersing, they were urged to chant: “Crime is dictated by America.”Roger Cohen has a riveting account from Tehran. He senses some movement from individual policemen who have no stomach for beating up students. He notes the fierce determination to continue the fight.
“We won’t leave you alone, Imam” Khamenei, the crowd chanted. “We are all brothers and followers of the leader’s order” and “Even though the plots of enemies are too many, the leader of the revolution foils them.” The worshippers dispersed to shouts of “Death to America! Death to England! Death to Israel!” (h/t Judith Klinghoffer)
The Iranian police commander, in green uniform, walked up Komak Hospital Alley with arms raised and his small unit at his side. “I swear to God,” he shouted at the protesters facing him, “I have children, I have a wife, I don’t want to beat people. Please go home.”The women are fierce.
....Garbage burned. Crowds bayed. Smoke from tear gas swirled. Hurled bricks sent phalanxes of police, some with automatic rifles, into retreat to the accompaniment of cheers. Early afternoon rumors that the rally for Moussavi had been canceled yielded to the reality of violent confrontation.
I don’t know where this uprising is leading. I do know some police units are wavering. That commander talking about his family was not alone. There were other policemen complaining about the unruly Basijis. Some security forces just stood and watched. “All together, all together, don’t be scared,” the crowd shouted.
I also know that Iran’s women stand in the vanguard. For days now, I’ve seen them urging less courageous men on. I’ve seen them get beaten and return to the fray. “Why are you sitting there?” one shouted at a couple of men perched on the sidewalk on Saturday. “Get up! Get up!”I'm afraid that that is true, but this always had to be done by the Iranians themselves.
Another green-eyed woman, Mahin, aged 52, staggered into an alley clutching her face and in tears. Then, against the urging of those around her, she limped back into the crowd moving west toward Freedom Square. Cries of “Death to the dictator!” and “We want liberty!” accompanied her.
There were people of all ages. I saw an old man on crutches, middle-aged office workers and bands of teenagers. Unlike the student revolts of 2003 and 1999, this movement is broad.
“Can’t the United Nations help us?” one woman asked me. I said I doubted that very much. “So,” she said, “we are on our own.”
Are there enough of the Basijis and foreigners purportedly brought in and enough in the Iranian Revolutionary Guard who have more of a stomach than that police chief for beating or killing the students in the crowds? I'd like to think that Cohen is describing what could be a tipping point rather than isolated examples of decency in an Iranian uniform.
Khamenei has clearly decided that it is worth the world's disgust to have a strong crackdown on the young people protesting for freedom and calling for the end of dictatorial rule. Who knows how long they can keep up these street protests in the face of guns and beatings. However, I also wonder if a people who have been bred to think of martyrdom for their faith might also be willing to undergo martyrdom for their political freedom.
5 comments:
Even if the revolt is suppressed the theocracy will be in trouble. They'll have a significant number of people that they'll have to keep an eye and ear on. They'll be trapped between wanting a growth economy and hampering the economy by slowing and filtering their communication systems. They won't be sleeping well because if there is an another uprising it will be more organized, armed, and will mirror its opponents tactics. The head mullahs will have to increase their personal security and end up in cages of their own making.
Anyone with a smidgen of historical acumen would have had "...a clue that his silence [wouldn't win] any points with the regime." But like the Clintons, Obama believes he can outwit, outtalk or outbluff anyone. His handling of North Korea and Iran suggests his foreign policy is on the verge of following his domestic policy downward. All those self-announced 'crises du jour' are proving difficult if not impossible to manage successfully, especially when these niggling distractions from abroad cut into his time. If a missile flies anywhere near Hawaii, Obama will likely ask for TV time to personally Mirandize North Korea's Kim.
Not surprising that people here choose to ignore all the convervative voices that say Obama is doing exactly the right thing. Just continue to block-out the fact that Iran became stronger during the W years - in part due to his incompetent execution of the war on terror - and ignore the very real possibility that Obama speaking out will give the Iranian govt. cover to tie this to the U.S and begin a bloodbath. You've been wrong for eight years but now you have all the right answers.
While I think it was a mistake for Obama to compare Mousavi to Ahmadinejad, other criticism is just a case of wishful thinking(for those who "hope he fails".)
Maybe conservatives should stick to their little "Tea Parties" if they want to act tough and play revelutionaries.
Yet as the result of all those incompetencies Iraq is independent of Iran, Iran's proxies just got their noses bent out of shape in Lebanon and due to continued economic problems Iran's economy shrank. Unless of course you are arguing that Pres Obama had a major part of those Iranian setbacks.
I'll admit to not reading every conservative writer or thinker but which ones have said Obama did the right thing with his foot in mouth response to the election and subsequent turmoil of Iran?
This is from part of aCNN interview given by a student demonstrator in Iran--they do not use his last name for obvious reasons.
"Mohammad:
Americans, European Union, international community, this government is not definitely — is definitely not elected by the majority of Iranians. So it’s illegal. Do not recognize it. Stop trading with them. Impose much more sanctions against them. My message…to the international community, especially I’m addressing President Obama directly – how can a government that doesn’t recognize its people’s rights and represses them brutally and mercilessly have nuclear activities? This government is a huge threat to global peace. Will a wise man give a sharp dagger to an insane person? We need your help international community. Don’t leave us alone.
Chetry: Mohammad, what do you think the international community should do besides sanctions?
Mohammad: Actually, this regime is really dependent on importing gasoline. More than 85% of Iran’s gasoline is imported from foreign countries. I think international communities must sanction exporting gasoline to Iran and that might shut down the government."
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