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Monday, February 11, 2008

The fading of The Establishment

Nicholas Confessore has an interesting essay about the fading of the power of the so-called Establishment. There really are no people or institutions that determine each party's selection.
Or if there is an establishment, it may not count for much. Last month, to considerable fanfare, Mr. Obama won the backing of leading members of the Kennedy clan, by some lights the gold standard of the pre-Clinton Democratic establishment — and certainly the first family of Massachusetts politics. Mr. Obama also captured the support of the state’s junior senator, John Kerry, and governor, Deval Patrick. Yet he still lost the Massachusetts primary on Tuesday by a healthy margin.

Establishment influence is even less apparent on the Republican side, a stark contrast to 2000, when party chieftains anointed George W. Bush as the Republican nominee, locking down important endorsements and donors before a single primary was held. The current front-runner and presumptive nominee, Senator John McCain of Arizona, is viewed as an apostate by influential figures on the right, like the talk radio host Rush Limbaugh and the evangelical leader James C. Dobson. Both have fiercely denounced Mr. McCain and threatened to withhold their support if he is the nominee.

Mr. McCain’s critics are frustrated not only because they believe he has defied conservative doctrine on issues like taxes and campaign finance reform, but also because they view him as someone who has cozied up to the other side. “There’s always been a paradox with him,” said Ryan Sager, a conservative columnist and author of “The Elephant in the Room: Evangelicals, Libertarians and the Battle to Control the Republican Party.” “On paper, this guy should be a solid conservative, but he’s engendered so much dislike among conservatives for having endeared himself to the liberal establishment.”

That word again. For the right, the establishment has even more complex associations than for the left, because the founders of modern conservatism were the first to speak routinely of a “liberal establishment” a like-minded elite that was said to exert undue influence over Congress, academia, the news media and more. (In his essay, Mr. Rovere noted tartly that conservatives of his time, including the editors of National Review, evidently believed the establishment to include “just about everyone in the country except themselves.”) Many of the conservative groups and leaders who oppose Mr. McCain are the same ones who decades ago felt that their own party’s establishment was dominated by a few secret “kingmakers” who steered presidential elections toward moderates like Dwight D. Eisenhower, as Phyllis Schlafly, the founder of the Eagle Forum, wrote in her influential book “A Choice Not an Echo.”
What would be the conservative establishment today? There are just too many voices and power sources out there that it would be hard to pinpoint any group of people who control the reins of power. Certainly not the Republican leaders in Congress or the Bush administration. Talk radio has demonstrated that the conservative vote is not a monolithic entity taking marching orders from Rush Limbaugh.

And then we have the ridiculous situation where Hillary Clinton is trying to argue that she is the anti-establishment candidate. Yeah, right.
Now Mrs. Clinton herself wants to play underdog. Her chief campaign strategist, Mark Penn, contended last week that it was Mr. Obama, not Mrs. Clinton, who was running an “increasingly establishment-oriented campaign.” If there is a Democratic establishment, in other words, the establishment Democratic candidate wants no part of it.
It comes as a relief to the American people that there really is no such thing as an establishment determining how politics plays out in the country. Confessore lets us in on a secret - that the whole idea of an establishment was something of a joke.
A LITTLE more than 40 years ago, the journalist Richard H. Rovere set off in search of that indistinct tangle of power and influence known as the American Establishment. After months of investigation, Mr. Rovere, in an essay published in 1961, unmasked the establishment’s members — the directors of the Council on Foreign Relations, the chairman of Chase Manhattan Bank, the head of the Ford Foundation, and so on — and offered a working definition: “A more or less closed and self-sustaining institution that holds a preponderance of power in our more or less open society.”

Mr. Rovere’s findings proved so persuasive that many readers didn’t realize his essay was an extended joke, meant to satirize popular paranoia about the power elite. Decades later, pundits continued to take his essay, “The American Establishment,” at face value, citing it as the definitive work on the subject. Even today few find the concept comical, least of all in the political realm, where the notion of a mighty, semisecretive establishment — business-suited men (and a few women) cloistered in the proverbial smoke-filled room — still obtains. It is widely taken for granted that each major party is more or less run by a powerful establishment, which anoints presidential candidates, supplies them with campaign money and gets them elected.

But this season’s primaries have made the idea of a political establishment, whether Republican or Democratic, hard to take seriously.

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