Banner ad

Monday, August 20, 2007

Barone's verdict on Karl Rove

Michael Barone gives his verdict on Karl Rove and, I think, gets it about right.
Rove's political strategy defeated the in party in 2000 at a time of apparent peace and prosperity (and helped Republicans face the strongest push for a Democratic Congress between 1994 and 2006), made unusual off-year gains for Republicans in 2002, and, through microtargeting and unprecedented volunteer involvement, produced a solid victory in 2004. Two thousand six was different. Rove was unjustifiably confident about Republicans' chances to hold Congress. But some things were out of his hands. The 2000 election might not have been as close as it was if Bush had revealed his DUI at the start of the campaign rather than let Democrats leak it in the last week, and the 2006 result might have been different if Bush had changed Iraq strategies in spring 2006 rather than winter 2007. These decisions, we can be sure, were Bush's, not Rove's.

Rove has failed to create the enduring Republican majority he hoped for, Bush has failed to attract young voters to his party as Ronald Reagan and Clinton did, and no Republican candidate for president is campaigning as a Bush clone. But Rove succeeded in shaping the political—and policy—present for a lot longer than any other political consultant ever has. An impressive achievement, in my book.

0 comments: