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Comments from an AP history
and government teacher in Raleigh, NC.
e-mail betsynewmark AT gmail.com
Commissions earned from selling items through Amazon will go towards buying materials for my classes. Thank you.
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Monday, February 26, 2007
Michael Barone on the Rudy vs Hillary matchup
Okay, I think it's way too soon to start studying polls of matchups between a possible Republican and Democratic nominee. Buy, it's fun so we do it anyway. Michael Barone has an in-depth look at some poll results matching up Rudy Giuliani and Hillary Clinton on a state by state basis. He goes region by region to see which states each candidate can put into play that went for Bush or Kerry in 2004.What you'll find is that all 11 eastern states and D.C. move toward Rudy; eight of the 12 midwestern states move toward Hillary; 10 of the 13 western states move toward Rudy; and 12 of the 14 southern states move toward Hillary. More states move toward Hillary than toward Rudy. But the movement overall benefits Rudy. Most southern and many western states remain heavily Republican, while other states that were safe for Kerry are thrust into play.His conclusion is that, with this matchup, Giuliani puts more states into play than Bush did in 2004. Many of the states for which he loses support are ones that were so overwhelmingly Republican in 2004 that the GOP can afford to lose a few percents of their vote from 2004 and still take the state.
Of course, Giuliani hasn't been roughed up yet as he is sure to. And Hillary isn't looking like the inevitability that she seemed to be a few months ago. But I've always thought that this election was about who could change a few of those states on that infamous red/blue map. And I've been doubtful for a while that, if there were a decent Republican candidate, that there are many states on that map that Hillary could pull away from the Republican column. And having Barone analyze Rudy's strength across the map has to be one of the best selling points for Giuliani's campaign to trumpet to potential Republican primary voters.Labels: Election 2008
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Okay, I think it's way too soon to start studying polls of matchups between a possible Republican and Democratic nominee. Buy, it's fun so we do it anyway. Michael Barone has an in-depth look at some poll results matching up Rudy Giuliani and Hillary Clinton on a state by state basis. He goes region by region to see which states each candidate can put into play that went for Bush or Kerry in 2004.
Of course, Giuliani hasn't been roughed up yet as he is sure to. And Hillary isn't looking like the inevitability that she seemed to be a few months ago. But I've always thought that this election was about who could change a few of those states on that infamous red/blue map. And I've been doubtful for a while that, if there were a decent Republican candidate, that there are many states on that map that Hillary could pull away from the Republican column. And having Barone analyze Rudy's strength across the map has to be one of the best selling points for Giuliani's campaign to trumpet to potential Republican primary voters.
0 comments
Okay, I think it's way too soon to start studying polls of matchups between a possible Republican and Democratic nominee. Buy, it's fun so we do it anyway. Michael Barone has an in-depth look at some poll results matching up Rudy Giuliani and Hillary Clinton on a state by state basis. He goes region by region to see which states each candidate can put into play that went for Bush or Kerry in 2004.
What you'll find is that all 11 eastern states and D.C. move toward Rudy; eight of the 12 midwestern states move toward Hillary; 10 of the 13 western states move toward Rudy; and 12 of the 14 southern states move toward Hillary. More states move toward Hillary than toward Rudy. But the movement overall benefits Rudy. Most southern and many western states remain heavily Republican, while other states that were safe for Kerry are thrust into play.His conclusion is that, with this matchup, Giuliani puts more states into play than Bush did in 2004. Many of the states for which he loses support are ones that were so overwhelmingly Republican in 2004 that the GOP can afford to lose a few percents of their vote from 2004 and still take the state.
Of course, Giuliani hasn't been roughed up yet as he is sure to. And Hillary isn't looking like the inevitability that she seemed to be a few months ago. But I've always thought that this election was about who could change a few of those states on that infamous red/blue map. And I've been doubtful for a while that, if there were a decent Republican candidate, that there are many states on that map that Hillary could pull away from the Republican column. And having Barone analyze Rudy's strength across the map has to be one of the best selling points for Giuliani's campaign to trumpet to potential Republican primary voters.
Labels: Election 2008
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