John Fund has a very informative column about all the obstacles that might lie in wait for Arnold. It is by no means a done deal. Remember that California is an overwhelmingly Democratic state and there is only one real Democratic candidate, Bustamente, but several Republican candidates to split the conservative vote. And don't rule out the possibilities of shenanigans, corruption, and fraud. This possibility rings true.

Democrats are very good at last-minute changes in strategy. Should Mr. Bustamante, an uninspiring pol who has often stumbled in his public appearances, not catch on with voters, Democrats may ask Bill Clinton or other prominent party members to pressure Gov. Davis to resign. Not only would that lower the turnout among voters who are most fervent about removing Mr. Davis, but Mr. Bustamante's elevation to "acting governor" would probably turn into a major media event, showcasing California's new Hispanic governor. That would "certainly boost his visibility and stature," says Assemblyman John Campbell, a Republican.